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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 119.06
2 Joey Logano 100.24
3 Denny Hamlin 81.41
4 Chase Elliott 76.71
5 Alex Bowman 54.78
6 Brad Keselowski 51.8
7 Kyle Busch 33.9
8 Martin Truex 31.91
9 Kurt Busch 27.93
10 Ryan Blaney 14.2
11 Austin Dillon 12.79
12 Kyle Larson 12.12
13 Erik Jones 11.98
14 Cole Custer 7.14
15 William Byron 6.54
16 Ryan Preece 6.34
17 Aric Almirola 5.53
18 Matt DiBenedetto 3.95
19 Tyler Reddick 3.7
20 Christopher Bell 3.67
21 Michael McDowell 3.49
22 Ryan Newman 3.07
23 Ty Dillon 2.8
24 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2.5
25 Chris Buescher 2.36
26 Chase Briscoe 2.26
  Anthony Alfredo 2.26
  AJ Allmendinger 2.26
  Ross Chastain 2.26
  Austin Cindric 2.26
  David Ragan 2.26
  Jamie McMurray 2.26
33 Bubba Wallace 1.31
34 Joey Gase 0.69
35 Quin Houff 0.69
36 Garrett Smithley 0.68
37 Timmy Hill 0.67
38 James Davison 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
40 Derrike Cope 0.67
  BJ McLeod 0.67
  Noah Gragson 0.67
  Kaz Grala 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
  Scott Heckert 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
47 Daniel Suarez 0.59
48 Corey Lajoie 0.42